A few post-election notes

A few short notes:

  • I have no sense for how much the racist, sexist discourse of the campaign and the Trump presidency will shape our culture over the next few years. I cannot pretend to know the extent to which reports of campaign-period bullying are valid, but with a few exceptions, this concerns me more than concrete policy issues. Despite President Obama’s hopeful statement this morning, I think Dara Lind is more on target for millions of my fellow Americans.
  • One huge consequence for children’s lives: Paul Ryan will have much more influence on the federal budget, including the block-granting of Medicaid and other programs that support poor children and the overall level of federal budget support for education.
  • ESSA’s passage moved much of K-12 policymaking back to the state level, and the Trump administration has no incentive to change that, except perhaps for cultural politics.
  • Silver beat Wang: A poker player with a bachelor’s degree beat out a bunch of PhDs in understanding the uncertainty in the data about the election. I think we have much to learn from that in education research, but that’s for a different post.
  • Cold comfort for my skills as an observer: the sleeper education issue in the election (California’s proposition 58) won handily, and I was correct in predicting both that it would remain a sleeper issue and the contrast between its politics and the politics of Massachusetts Question 2.