{"id":1756,"date":"2009-11-04T10:56:05","date_gmt":"2009-11-04T14:56:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wordpress\/?p=1756"},"modified":"2009-11-04T10:56:05","modified_gmt":"2009-11-04T14:56:05","slug":"election-results-eh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/?p=1756","title":{"rendered":"Election results &#8212; eh."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Andy Rotherham has <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eduwonk.com\/2009\/11\/elections.html\">a tempting interpretation of election results<\/a>&nbsp;(and their effect on federal education politics), but I&#8217;m guessing he&#8217;s just suffering from living in Virginia this morning. Normally, it&#8217;s a very nice state, but I&#8217;ve seen some pretty-well-expected &#8220;darned my state is going down the tubes&#8221; messages from Va. acquaintances over the past 12 hours.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The more fundamental questions for any domestic initiative are whether health-insurance reform passes this year and what happens with employment in the next 4-5 months. My best guess is that health-insurance reform will pass and employment will start to nudge up but not by leaps and bounds. The result is that the potential for &#8220;oh my gosh I have to protect my seat&#8221; paranoia by majority Congresscritters will abate as a result of a health-insurance law but that pressure on the employment front will keep members of Congress nervous (regardless of party).&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>And, in any case, since the action in education politics is usually at the state level, that&#8217;s where the import of yesterday&#8217;s elections lies:<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The death of two more TABOR referenda means that education funding is imperiled only by a horrid economy and state revenues. Yippee?<\/li>\n<li>An unpopular Democratic governor in NJ is replaced by a Republican governor who may well enter office nearly as unpopular, facing a legislature that tends to protect wealthy communities at the expense of poor communities when it comes to education.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<li>A popular Democratic governor in VA is replaced by a conservative Republican governor who promised to focus on education (among other service-oriented campaign promises), with a legislature dominated by Republicans.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<li>In the sick state of New York, a billionaire <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/11\/04\/nyregion\/04analysis.html\">buys a third term<\/a> and <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2009\/11\/04\/nyregion\/04ticktock.html?scp=4&amp;sq=&amp;st=nyt\">a probable minor scandal<\/a>&nbsp;about his elbows as well. In the meantime, an ineffectual governor will increasingly be overshadowed by state-level politics over education.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<li>The sick state of California loses its often-running lieutenant governor to Congress.&nbsp;<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Andy Rotherham has a tempting interpretation of election results&nbsp;(and their effect on federal education politics), but I&#8217;m guessing he&#8217;s just suffering from living in Virginia this morning. Normally, it&#8217;s a very nice state, but I&#8217;ve seen some pretty-well-expected &#8220;darned my state is going down the tubes&#8221; messages from Va. acquaintances over the past 12 hours.&nbsp; [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1756","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-education-policy"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pag0MB-sk","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1756","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1756"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1756\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1756"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1756"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1756"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}