{"id":9512,"date":"2023-03-25T06:47:35","date_gmt":"2023-03-25T13:47:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wordpress\/?p=9512"},"modified":"2023-03-25T06:48:03","modified_gmt":"2023-03-25T13:48:03","slug":"pandemic-education-history-poster","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/?p=9512","title":{"rendered":"Pandemic education history poster??"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Yesterday, I presented a poster on this blog series at the Association for Education Finance and Policy, in Denver, and I had a challenge: how does one present a broad-brush historical argument in this format? So I hacked the idea of a poster, which is to present a limited amount of information as an entree to a discussion with people who decide they&#8217;re interested in the topic&#8230; and created a chart thematically tied to this series, rescaled to show proportionate changes (with the bottom of the chart representing the greatest proportionate loss 2020-2023 from the 2019 baseline), but without labeling the data:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"743\" src=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels-1024x743.png\" alt=\"Figure showing three unlabeled time series of data for 2019-2022, scaled to show proportionate drops -- blue and orange lines sharp in March 2020, slowly rising back up to 2019 baseline, and a gray line representing data that reached highest proportionate drop in early 2022.\" class=\"wp-image-9514\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels-1024x743.png 1024w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels-768x557.png 768w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-without-labels.png 1427w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data from three pandemic series of data, 2019-2022<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I used the majority of the poster space for this figure, added the poster title, a QR code tied to the <a href=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/?p=9339\">first entry in this series<\/a>, and added some whimsical and clearly false labels to the series on sticky notes: <em>bear spray sales<\/em>, <em>time spent <strong>not<\/strong> on Twitter<\/em>, and <em>good hair days<\/em>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"Poster with chart from prior figure, with three yellow stickies representing obviously-wrong identification of time series.\" class=\"wp-image-9515\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-start-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Image of poster at start of AEFP poster session, March 24, 2023. Sticky notes are Sherman Dorn&#8217;s obviously-wrong labels.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I invited fellow AEFP attendees to make guesses and label the data. I answered questions without giving away the store, and here is how the poster looked at the end of the session:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-scaled.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-1024x768.jpg\" alt=\"Poster with chart from first figure, with sticky notes representing AEFP attendees' guesses on data sources.\" class=\"wp-image-9516\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-1024x768.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-300x225.jpg 300w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-768x576.jpg 768w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-1536x1152.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/Poster-in-situ-at-end-2048x1536.jpg 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Dorn AEFP poster at end of poster session, March 24, 2023. Sticky notes are AEFP attendees&#8217; guesses as to data sources.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And of course I promised to reveal what the actual sources were. Here&#8217;s the labeled figure:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"743\" src=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels-1024x743.png\" alt=\"Figure showing three unlabeled time series of data for 2019-2022, scaled to show proportionate drops -- blue OpenTable Reservation line and orange women's labor force participation line sharp in March 2020, slowly rising back up to 2019 baseline, and a gray line representing Illinois fourth-grade math MAP median normed percentile that reached the greatest proportionate drop in early 2022.\" class=\"wp-image-9517\" srcset=\"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels-1024x743.png 1024w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels-300x218.png 300w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels-768x557.png 768w, https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/AEFP-2023-with-labels.png 1427w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Data on student achievement in math, women&#8217;s labor force participation, and restaurant use, 2019-2023<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sources:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.opentable.com\/state-of-industry\">OpenTable&#8217;s State of Industry<\/a> data<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank FRED data server (<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/LNS11300002#\">women&#8217;s labor force participation chart<\/a>)<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nwea.org\/exploring-the-educational-impacts-of-covid-19\/\">NWEA pandemic-era student achievement data dashboard<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">When I downloaded the OpenTable reservation data and arbitrarily picked the 20th of each month, the Mother&#8217;s Day spike of 2021 became obvious, and I decided to leave it as a tantalizing hint. The Illinois MAP data has a large gap for 2020 when no periodic testing happened, and I thought that along with the persistence of the drop, that was going to be obvious to someone who looked at the figure. But no one guessed that. I forget who guessed that the orange line was about labor-force participation, but Chris Marsicano (Davidson College) correctly guessed that the blue line was about restaurants, even if he narrowed it to NYC. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There are a few questions I hope this figure raises, from questions about the basic data (what does the OpenTable data tell us, exactly, or the MAP data?) to the different cadences within a society during and after major disruption, and what else (along with K-12 achievement and women&#8217;s labor force participation, to a lesser extent) has the multi-year pandemic effects so evident here? <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Yesterday, I presented a poster on this blog series at the Association for Education Finance and Policy, in Denver, and I had a challenge: how does one present a broad-brush historical argument in this format? So I hacked the idea of a poster, which is to present a limited amount of information as an entree [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_hide_featured_image":false,"_jetpack_featured_image_duplicate_dismissed":0,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":false,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9512","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-education-policy"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pag0MB-2tq","jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9512","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=9512"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9512\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9522,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9512\/revisions\/9522"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=9512"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=9512"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/shermandorn.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=9512"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}