“I read Nate Silver. I’m a fan of Nate Silver. State senator, you’re no Nate Silver.”
The takeaway from the Nate Silver-punditry smackdown this fall is not that any quantification and set of algorithms beat the pants off your nearest broadcast yodeler, but that quantification done well will beat the pants off your nearest broadcast yodeler, and that your nearest broadcast yodeler presents the equivalent of the Washington Generals in battles with […]
BCGD: Big College Graduation Deal
A few quick comments on the new report on college graduation by Pew researchers Richard Fry and Kim Parker, which estimates 33% bachelor’s degree completion among non-institutionalized 25- through 29-year-olds (HT: NYT’s Tamar Lewin): The increase in college graduation (from 28-29% before the recession to 33% now) is a noticeable boost, both for the pace of increase […]